Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.251799 0.291654 0.337221 0.393489 0.461532 0.541697 0.644094
2025-08-31 0.185951 0.235182 0.297922 0.385049 0.505003 0.667519 0.909964
2025-09-07 0.154431 0.208124 0.282235 0.394790 0.566516 0.827623 1.273335
2025-09-14 0.129112 0.182325 0.260281 0.387080 0.596886 0.947430 1.618663
2025-09-21 0.113461 0.166696 0.248762 0.390514 0.642780 1.102654 2.085949
2025-09-28 0.100635 0.152818 0.236796 0.389531 0.679289 1.250698 2.605154
2025-10-05 0.092623 0.145106 0.233095 0.401325 0.741296 1.467331 3.385092
2025-10-12 0.085482 0.137654 0.228363 0.409807 0.798474 1.693396 4.321543
2025-10-19 0.079258 0.130835 0.223522 0.416802 0.854073 1.936394 5.468203
2025-10-26 0.074612 0.126142 0.221761 0.429487 0.925854 2.248902 7.077490
2025-11-02 0.069574 0.120068 0.216403 0.433339 0.977633 2.529886 8.827482
2025-11-09 0.064800 0.113908 0.209974 0.433511 1.020276 2.804041 10.830233
2025-11-16 0.060126 0.107527 0.202460 0.430340 1.055095 3.077382 13.186581
2025-11-23 0.055607 0.100991 0.193828 0.423067 1.077236 3.323292 15.759303
2025-11-30 0.053086 0.098184 0.192786 0.434448 1.158532 3.833647 20.734695
2025-12-07 0.049335 0.092458 0.184590 0.425887 1.175635 4.104315 24.640767
2025-12-14 0.046832 0.089092 0.181282 0.429763 1.235201 4.596603 31.398975
2025-12-21 0.044241 0.085280 0.176478 0.428663 1.278015 5.045917 39.038101
2025-12-28 0.042743 0.083689 0.176696 0.441911 1.377682 5.855976 53.284747
2026-01-04 0.041136 0.081694 0.175690 0.451446 1.467774 6.698733 71.837253
2026-01-11 0.039556 0.079609 0.174206 0.459312 1.555168 7.614650 96.871687
2026-01-18 0.038395 0.078370 0.174703 0.473585 1.676194 8.880007 138.286493
2026-01-25 0.036849 0.076094 0.172256 0.477921 1.756392 9.964403 186.887023